We study identifiability of stochastic differential equations (SDE) under multiple interventions. Our results give the first provable bounds for unique recovery of SDE parameters given samples from their stationary distributions. We give tight bounds on the number of necessary interventions for linear SDEs, and upper bounds for nonlinear SDEs in the small noise regime. We experimentally validate the recovery of true parameters in synthetic data, and motivated by our theoretical results, demonstrate the advantage of parameterizations with learnable activation functions in application to gene regulatory dynamics. Stochastic dynamical systems are ubiquitous as models for natural data. They are perfectly suited for application to time-series data, and therefore also a good candidate to characterize systems that reach a steady state in the limit. If a system is governed by some stochastic differential equation (SDE) and the same system is observed under different interventions, ideally one would learn the underlying parameters governing the dynamics, and guarantee accurate prediction under new interventions. However, in many natural settings, data is modeled as following an SDE even if one does not have access to explicit trajectories. Studies of ecological systems focus on the long-term survival of multiple species modeled by the quasi-stationary state of SDEs with environmental factors as perturbations (Hening & Li, 2021). The application of flow cytometry to protein signaling networks under perturbation (Sachs et al., 2005) is destructive and yields protein quantification at one time point, modeled using the stationary distributions of linear SDEs in V arando & Hansen (2020).

The prevailing educational methods predominantly rely on traditional classroom instruction or online delivery, often limiting the teachers' ability to engage effectively with all the students simultaneously. A more intrinsic method of evaluating student attentiveness during lectures can enable the educators to tailor the course materials and their teaching styles in order to better meet the students' needs. The aim of this paper is to enhance teaching quality in real time, thereby fostering a higher student engagement in the classroom activities. By monitoring the students' electroencephalography (EEG) signals and employing machine learning algorithms, this study proposes a comprehensive solution for addressing this challenge. Machine learning has emerged as a powerful tool for simplifying the analysis of complex variables, enabling the effective assessment of the students' concentration levels based on specific parameters. However, the real-time impact of machine learning models necessitates a careful consideration as their deployment is concerned. This study proposes a machine learning-based approach for predicting the level of students' comprehension with regard to a certain topic. A browser interface was introduced that accesses the values of the system's parameters to determine a student's level of concentration on a chosen topic. The deployment of the proposed system made it necessary to address the real-time challenges faced by the students, consider the system's cost, and establish trust in its efficacy. This paper presents the efforts made for approaching this pertinent issue through the implementation of innovative technologies and provides a framework for addressing key considerations for future research directions.

Statistical Taylor expansion replaces the input precise variables in a conventional Taylor expansion with random variables each with known distribution, to calculate the result mean and deviation. It is based on the uncorrelated uncertainty assumption: Each input variable is measured independently with fine enough statistical precision, so that their uncertainties are independent of each other. Statistical Taylor expansion reviews that the intermediate analytic expressions can no longer be regarded as independent of each other, and the result of analytic expression should be path independent. This conclusion differs fundamentally from the conventional common approach in applied mathematics to find the best execution path for a result. This paper also presents an implementation of statistical Taylor expansion called variance arithmetic, and the tests on variance arithmetic.

Soybean production is susceptible to biotic and abiotic stresses, exacerbated by extreme weather events. Water limiting stress, i.e. drought, emerges as a significant risk for soybean production, underscoring the need for advancements in stress monitoring for crop breeding and production. This project combines multi-modal information to identify the most effective and efficient automated methods to investigate drought response. We investigated a set of diverse soybean accessions using multiple sensors in a time series high-throughput phenotyping manner to: (1) develop a pipeline for rapid classification of soybean drought stress symptoms, and (2) investigate methods for early detection of drought stress. We utilized high-throughput time-series phenotyping using UAVs and sensors in conjunction with machine learning (ML) analytics, which offered a swift and efficient means of phenotyping. The red-edge and green bands were most effective to classify canopy wilting stress. The Red-Edge Chlorophyll Vegetation Index (RECI) successfully differentiated susceptible and tolerant soybean accessions prior to visual symptom development. We report pre-visual detection of soybean wilting using a combination of different vegetation indices. These results can contribute to early stress detection methodologies and rapid classification of drought responses in screening nurseries for breeding and production applications.

Is it possible for a first-order method, i.e., only first derivatives allowed, to be quadratically convergent? For univariate loss functions, the answer is yes -- the Steffensen method avoids second derivatives and is still quadratically convergent like Newton method. By incorporating an optimal step size we can even push its convergence order beyond quadratic to $1+\sqrt{2} \approx 2.414$. While such high convergence orders are a pointless overkill for a deterministic algorithm, they become rewarding when the algorithm is randomized for problems of massive sizes, as randomization invariably compromises convergence speed. We will introduce two adaptive learning rates inspired by the Steffensen method, intended for use in a stochastic optimization setting and requires no hyperparameter tuning aside from batch size. Extensive experiments show that they compare favorably with several existing first-order methods. When restricted to a quadratic objective, our stochastic Steffensen methods reduce to randomized Kaczmarz method -- note that this is not true for SGD or SLBFGS -- and thus we may also view our methods as a generalization of randomized Kaczmarz to arbitrary objectives.

This is the first paper in a sequence of studies in which we introduce a new type of neural networks (NNs) -- wavelet-based neural networks (WBNNs) -- and study their properties and potential for applications. We begin this study with a comparison to the currently existing type of wavelet neural networks (WNNs) and show that WBNNs vastly outperform WNNs. One reason for the vast superiority of WBNNs is their advanced hierarchical tree structure based on biorthonormal multiresolution analysis (MRA). Another reason for this is the implementation of our new idea to incorporate the wavelet tree depth into the neural width of the NN. The separation of the roles of wavelet depth and neural depth provides a conceptually and algorithmically simple but highly efficient methodology for sharp increase in functionality of swarm and deep WBNNs and rapid acceleration of the machine learning process.

Islamic and capitalist economies have several differences, the most fundamental being that the Islamic economy is characterized by the prohibition of interest (riba) and speculation (gharar) and the enforcement of Shariah-compliant profit-loss sharing (mudaraba, murabaha, salam, etc.) and wealth redistribution (waqf, sadaqah, and zakat). In this study, I apply new econophysics models of wealth exchange and redistribution to quantitatively compare these characteristics to those of capitalism and evaluate wealth distribution and disparity using a simulation. Specifically, regarding exchange, I propose a loan interest model representing finance capitalism and riba and a joint venture model representing shareholder capitalism and mudaraba; regarding redistribution, I create a transfer model representing inheritance tax and waqf. As exchanges are repeated from an initial uniform distribution of wealth, wealth distribution approaches a power-law distribution more quickly for the loan interest than the joint venture model; and the Gini index, representing disparity, rapidly increases. The joint venture model's Gini index increases more slowly, but eventually, the wealth distribution in both models becomes a delta distribution, and the Gini index gradually approaches 1. Next, when both models are combined with the transfer model to redistribute wealth in every given period, the loan interest model has a larger Gini index than the joint venture model, but both converge to a Gini index of less than 1. These results quantitatively reveal that in the Islamic economy, disparity is restrained by prohibiting riba and promoting reciprocal exchange in mudaraba and redistribution through waqf. Comparing Islamic and capitalist economies provides insights into the benefits of economically embracing the ethical practice of mutual aid and suggests guidelines for an alternative to capitalism.

Mining the latent intentions from large volumes of natural language inputs is a key step to help data analysts design and refine Intelligent Virtual Assistants (IVAs) for customer service and sales support. We created a flexible and scalable clustering pipeline within the Verint Intent Manager (VIM) that integrates the fine-tuning of language models, a high performing k-NN library and community detection techniques to help analysts quickly surface and organize relevant user intentions from conversational texts. The fine-tuning step is necessary because pre-trained language models cannot encode texts to efficiently surface particular clustering structures when the target texts are from an unseen domain or the clustering task is not topic detection. We describe the pipeline and demonstrate its performance and ability to scale on three real-world text mining tasks. As deployed in the VIM application, this clustering pipeline produces high quality results, improving the performance of data analysts and reducing the time it takes to surface intentions from customer service data, thereby reducing the time it takes to build and deploy IVAs in new domains.

Stethoscopes are a ubiquitous and cost-effective tool for medical diagnosis, but they open the door to subjectivity and can experience high levels of environmental noise. This makes it difficult to properly diagnose lung abnormalities, like COVID-19, by listening to sounds from the body. James West, at Johns Hopkins University, has been developing a digital stethoscope equipped with artificial intelligence for accurate lung diagnoses. He will discuss its opportunities and obstacles at the 179th ASA Meeting.

Many companies are turning to self-service to provide a better customer experience at a lower cost. In fact, a report by Customer Contact Week Digital found that 91% of organizations identify web self-service as a relevant investment focus. Companies believe self-service has the ability to reduce call center costs and relieve pressure on customer service agents, but is every self-service attempt successful? We've asked industry leaders to weigh in on the importance of self-services and how brands can overcome some common self-service mistakes. Self-service brings numerous benefits to organizations, which is why most companies now see these capabilities as essential.